PLANS ARE PREDICTIONS. All models are wrong, but some are useful.
A very entertaining and lucid piece from the Powder Horn Blog about planning and why plans fail, coming from the experience of the military, but with practical applications well beyond. The tongue-in-cheek formula F = P(Shit Happens) x Time, where F is Friction and P is probability clearly shows the tone of the text. Best quote: “how do plans succeed? The answer is straightforward: the plan changes.”
Read the fulll article here.
